What are the chances of having an ectopic pregnancy

One Ectopic Often Predicts Another

Your chances of having a normal pregnancy are excellent, but your chances of having another ectopic pregnancy have also increased.

Question:
I had an ectopic pregnancy two years ago, and they treated it with a medication called methotrexate. What are my chances of having a normal pregnancy now, and what I should watch out for?

Answer:Jan. 22, 2001 -- Your chances of having a normal pregnancy are excellent, but your chances of having another ectopic pregnancy have also increased. An ectopic pregnancy -- one that's developing outside the uterus -- is diagnosed in about one in every 100 pregnancies. More than 95% develop in the fallopian tube, but these pregnancies can also occur in an ovary, the cervix, or even the abdomen. Risk factors for them include a previous ectopic pregnancy; tubal surgery such as tubal ligation or sterilization reversal; a past tubal infection; use of an intrauterine device (IUD); use of the "morning-after" pill; use of the progesterone-only or "mini" pill; and fertility treatments including in vitro fertilization and gamete intrafallopian transfer.

Ectopic pregnancy has traditionally been treated with surgery, which may involve removing the fallopian tube or removing the embryo. Nonsurgical treatment can be used in cases where the ectopic pregnancy is early and hasn't ruptured. It involves the injection of a chemotherapeutic medication, methotrexate, which halts the pregnancy's development.

In general, after one ectopic pregnancy your chances of having a future pregnancy that is in the uterus are about 60-70%. But women with a history of ectopic pregnancy often have difficulty getting pregnant again, and as many as 20-30% of them end up being infertile, especially if they have any of the risk factors noted above. Your risk of having another ectopic pregnancy is much higher once you've had the first; as many as one in 10 women will have a second ectopic pregnancy. The increased risk is probably about the same whether your ectopic was treated with surgery or medication, though it's too early to have much data on this.

Because the risk of a second ectopic pregnancy is so high, you should take precautions when you get pregnant again. If you miss a period and might be pregnant, let your doctor know right away. The first step is to find out if you are pregnant and where the pregnancy is located. This may be difficult early in the pregnancy, so be aware of the early signs of an ectopic pregnancy, such as pain and vaginal bleeding or spotting.

With your history, your doctor may assume you're having another ectopic pregnancy until an intrauterine pregnancy can be clearly seen on ultrasound. Your doctor will examine you, do a transvaginal ultrasound, and draw your blood for an hCG level if a pregnancy is not yet visible. When the hCG rises above 2,000 mIU/mL, your doctor should be able to see an intrauterine pregnancy; the same is true around 28 days after you last ovulated (about six weeks after your last period). Sometimes an additional blood sample for hCG level is taken 48 hours after the first and compared with the first level. An hCG level that increases but is less than double the previous one is considered abnormal and suspicious of an ectopic pregnancy.

Otherwise, your doctor will prescribe additional observation and testing. Once the pregnancy is confirmed to be inside the uterus, there's usually no further need for concern about an ectopic pregnancy

Amos Gr�nebaum is a practicing obstetrician and gynecologist in New York specializing in high-risk pregnancies.

  • Journal List
  • J Res Med Sci
  • v.19(9); 2014 Sep
  • PMC4268192

J Res Med Sci. 2014 Sep; 19(9): 844–849.

Abstract

Background:

Ectopic pregnancy (EP) is a condition presenting as a major health problem for women of childbearing age. This study aimed to identify potential risk factors for EP and to evaluate the contribution of the risk factors associated to EP.

Materials and Methods:

This retrospective nested case–control study was conducted from 2006 to 2011. In case group, there were a total of 83 women diagnosed with EP, while in the control group; there was a total of 340 women who gave birth. The basic recorded information included surgical, gynecological, obstetrics, sexual, contraceptive, and infectious histories; demographic characteristics; smoking habits; fertility markers; as well as reproductive outcome after EP. The association between EP and the factors studied was analyzed by logistic regression.

Results:

The findings reveal that the following factors were associated with increased risk of EP, including: Maternal age (odds ratio [OR] =1.11, confidence interval [CI] [1.06–1.16], P < 0.0001), spouse's cigarette smoking (OR = 1.73, CI [1.05–2.85], P = 0.02), gravidity (OR = 1.50, CI [1.25–1.80], P < 0.0001), prior spontaneous abortions (OR = 1.93, CI [1.11–3.36], P = 0.01), history of EP (OR = 17.16, CI [1.89–155.67], P = 0.01), tubal blockage (OR = 10.85, CI [2.02–58.08], P = 0.01), use of intrauterine device (IUD) (OR = 4.39, CI [1.78–10.81], P = 0.001), tubal damage (OR = 2.704, CI [1.26–5.78], P = 0.01), first pregnancy interval (OR = 1.01, CI [1.00–1.02], P < 0.0001) and history of infertility (OR = 6.13, CI [2.70–13.93], P < 0.0001).

Conclusion:

By identifying risk factors being amenable to modification, such as cigarette smoking and use of IUD and first pregnancy interval the effective risk-reduction strategies can be devised.

Keywords: Ectopic pregnancy, intrauterine device, tubal damage

INTRODUCTION

Ectopic pregnancy (EP) is a condition presenting as a major health problem for women of childbearing age.[1] The incidence of EP varies with the population, but it has been accounted for 1-2% of all reported pregnancies.[2,3,4,5] Numerous studies have attempted to explain the risk factors for EP.[3,6,7,8,9] Accordingly, it is speculated that the main risk factors for EP are conditions or procedures, which can result in tubal damage.[1,6,10,11] Despite these insights, much remains to be learned about these factors. For instance, the exact role and strength of these factors have not been definitively determined due to sample size problem or other design issues.[6,7] On the other hand, extrapolation of results from studies conducted before is difficult, owing to the variation in incidence and risk factor associated with EP among populations studied.[6] Moreover, searching on PubMed revealed that there are no publications on incidence or risk factors for EP in Iran. Obviously, successful implementation of risk-reduction counseling program before conception provides high-risk patients with screening to identify and manage EP;[6] therefore, the current study was designed to identify potential risk factors and to evaluate the contribution of the risk factors associated EP in women attending a referral women's hospital in Tehran, capital of Iran.

METHODS

Study design and participants

This retrospective nested case–control study performed at Arash Women's Hospital, Tehran, Iran between 2006, and 2011. The study was approved by the Institutional Review Board of the Royan Institute Research Center and the Royan Ethics Committee. The case-patients were 83 women in their first trimester of pregnancy presenting to the hospital with a diagnosis of EP in order to receive the treatment of medical or surgical procedure. Control group consisted of 340 randomly selected women (systematic sampling method) giving birth at Arash Hospital.

Study variables

The basic recorded information included surgical (abdominal surgery), gynecological (tubal damage, tubal situation), obstetrics (gravidity, first pregnancy interval, history of live birth, history of abortion, history of induced abortion, history of EP), contraceptive (contraceptive methods) and infectious histories (history of pelvic inflammatory disease [PID]), demographic characteristics (age, body mass index [BMI]); smoking habits (smoking, spouse's cigarette), fertility markers (history of infertility, duration of infertility), as well as reproductive outcome after EP. The severity of vaginal bleeding and pain as a symptom of EP were also recorded. A clinical intrauterine pregnancy was defined as the presence of an intrauterine gestational sac, confirmed by ultrasound.[12] Furthermore, coexistence of intrauterine and extrauterine gestation is a definition for heterotopic pregnancy.[12] We considered a pregnancy as ectopic if it was reported as either ectopic only or heterotopic. Ectopic and heterotopic pregnancies were diagnosed by detection of conception products within the fallopian tube, visualization of an extrauterine gestational sac, or by a rise in human chorionic gonadotropin level after dilatation and evacuation.[13]

Statistical analysis

Statistical analysis was performed with SPSS software, version 18.0 (SPSS Inc., Chicago, IL, USA). For comparison of the patient and cycle characteristics, appropriate statistical analysis methods were performed using Student's t-test or Mann–Whitney U-test for continuous variables, while Pearson's Chi-square test or Fisher's exact test for categorical variables. The P < 0.05 was considered statistically significant. Quantitative variables were expressed as mean ± standard deviation while qualitative variables were presented with number and percent. The association between EP and the factors studied was measured by odds ratio (ORs) and 95% confidence interval (CI). We used logistic regression analysis to calculate ORs and 95% CI for them. Subsequently, multiple logistic regression was used to select independent predictors for EP.

RESULTS

Of the 11174 women have been referred during pregnancy; a total of 140 patients presented with warning signs of an EP in the first trimester of pregnancy. Of these, 83 patients were diagnosed with EP (0.74%), in which one of them was heterotopic (1.2%). Table 1 shows the distribution of the sites of EP. Only 4.8% of EPs were extratubal, while the most common site of the tubal pregnancies was ampullary region of the fallopian tube (62.7%). No cervical and abdominal pregnancies were observed.

Table 1

Distribution of the site, location and direction of EP

The general characteristics of all couples are provided in Table 2. There was no difference in racial distribution between two groups and approximately 97.6% of the population was Iranian. Overall, the mean age of the cases was significantly higher than that of the controls (30.3 ± 5 vs. 27.1 ± 5.3; P < 0.0001). Accordingly, there was a considerable increase in crude risk of EP with age [Table 2]. Although the number of women used tobacco was small (n = 6), the difference between the two groups was marginally significant at the 0.1 level (P = 0.08). On the other hand, spouse's cigarette smoking was associated with EP, while odds of EP in women with smoker husband was 1.738 times more than nonsmokers (P = 0.02). There was no association between EP and BMI [Table 2].

Table 2

EP and demographic characteristics

Most of the parameters given in the patients’ obstetric histories were associated with EP [Table 3]. We found a close association between EP and gravidity. Prior spontaneous abortions, the risk of EP also increased, but this was not true about induced abortion. The risk of EP was higher among women with histories of EP, with an OR of 17.16 (P = 0.01). According to our results if one or both fallopian tubes are blocked, the risk of EP increased at least 10- and 4-fold respectively. We also observed that, the risk of EP is higher in women with tubal damage (P = 0.01) [Table 3].

Table 3

The association between EP and surgical, gynecologic and obstetric histories

The women with a longer interval between marriage and first pregnancy had a higher risk of EP (P < 0.0001). Since the number of women with a history of laparoscopically-confirmed PID was small (n = 3), we could not find any association between prior PID and EP. Among contraceptive methods, use of intrauterine device (IUD) was associated with an increased risk of EP compared with those who used no birth control. History of infertility, especially primary infertility was strongly associated with the risk of EP with an OR of 6.135 (P < 0.0001) compared with women with no history of infertility [Table 4].

Table 4

The association between EP and sexual history, infectious history, contraceptive history and fertility markers

In other to build a prediction model and find the most predictive factors of EP, we used the multiple logistic regressions. The results of multivariate analysis showed that three factors were associated with a significant increase in the risk of EP that is listed in Table 5.

Table 5

The backward logistic regression analysis with OR and 95% CI on the factors affecting the EP

Our analysis demonstrated that 68 (81.9%) and 48 (57.8%) of women with EP have moderate/severe vaginal bleeding and pain respectively. We also evaluated the reproductive outcome after EP. Accordingly, the outcomes of 50 out of 83 patients were available due to subsequent loss to follow-up (n = 33). Out of 50 patients, there were 15 (30%) patients who didn’t intend to get pregnant and used contraceptive methods after EP (8 patients with tubal ligation and 7 patients with other methods of birth control) and 12 women were infertile. The remaining 23 had subsequent intrauterine pregnancies, of these, 17 resulted in a live birth and five ended in miscarriage. One patient had EP in her subsequent pregnancy.

DISCUSSION

There is extensive research on potential risk factors for EP.[6] Our results confirm some of these supposed risk factors.

Previous ectopic pregnancy

Similar to other studies,[6,14,15] we found that, among all the possible risk factors of EP, the strongest evidence is for an association between previous EP and sequent EP. According to our results, the risk of EP was almost 17 times higher for women who had prior EP compared to controls (OR = 17.165, 95% CI = 1.89–155.67). Barnhart et al.[6] indicated that the risk of facing a repeat EP increases intensely with the number of prior EP (OR = 2.98 for one prior EP and OR = 16.04 for 2 or more). Other research studies also estimated the risk of facing a repeat EP to be between 2.4 and 25.0.[6,14,15]

Prior pelvic inflammatory disease

Previous studies have reported a strong association between prior PID and EP with OR ranging from 2.0 to 10.1.[6,16,17,18] In our study, although the number of women with a history of laparoscopically-confirmed PID was small (n = 3), it was close to statistical significance (P = 0.08).

Previous tubal surgery

It has been reported that previous tubal surgery is a major risk factor for EP with an estimated OR of 4.7 (2.4-9.5) according to a meta-analysis.[19] Similarly, we observed that the women with tubal damage were almost 2.5-3 times more likely to have an EP than controls. It is uncertain whether the increased risk is arising from a surgical procedure or from the underlying problem.[20]

Abdominal surgery

Previous studies have reported different results about the association between nontubal abdominal or pelvic surgery and subsequent EP from no association to OR ranging from 2.4 to 5.0.[6,16,21,22] In our study, the women with histories of laparotomy and appendectomy were more likely to have EP compared with controls. However, this difference was not statistically significant (P = 0.05).

Tubal blockage

Tubal pregnancy may occur in a blocked tube with contralateral tubal patency. In this case, the sperm migrates across the abdomen to fertilize an egg released from the blocked side.[20] It is demonstrated that when a woman become pregnant after a tubal ligation, the risk of EP is higher in women not using this contraceptive method.[23] Although, the number of cases with tubal blockage was small (n = 9), our analysis showed that the risk of EP is approximately 11-fold higher for women with one blocked tube. This association was found to be weaker for those with two blocked tubes (OR = 4.34, 95% CI = 0.26–70.98).

Maternal age

Our result is consistent with some previous studies which found that the risk of EP increases with advancing maternal age.[24,25] Based on our results, the average maternal age was significantly higher for women with EP than controls. Furthermore, compared with women aged ≤26 years, the risk of EP for women aged 27-32 and aged 33-38 were 3.9 and 4.3 times higher respectively, while women aged ≥39 years approximately had a 9-fold risk of EP.

Existing evidence on how advanced maternal age has an effect on EP risk remains unclear. It is improbable that the higher risk of EP in older age cohorts is due to chromosomal abnormalities in the trophoblastic tissue.[7,26] Some researchers attributed it to some age-related factors, such as: Possible tubal scarring from PID,[1,27] major gonococcal and chlamydial epidemics[1,28] and changes in tubal function leading to delay in ovum transport and tubal implantation.[7] However, these hypotheses need to be investigated.

Cigarette smoking

Several contemporary studies have reported a strong association between tobacco use and EP.[7,29,30] In a meta-analysis, Waylen et al.[2,31] revealed that smoking patients demonstrated significantly higher odds of EP (OR = 15.69, 95% CI = 2.87–85.76). In our study, despite the small number of women used tobacco (n = 6), the difference between the two groups was significant at the 0.1 level (P = 0.08). We also could found that there is an association between spouse's cigarette smoking and EP with an OR of 1.7 (95% CI: 1.05–2.85). Although, the reason that smoking causes EP remains unknown,[2] animals studies have shown that inhalation of cigarette smoke may impair fallopian tube function by affecting on ciliary beat frequency and smooth muscle contraction.[2,32]

Intrauterine device

According to our results, among contraceptive methods only after use of IUD, there was a 4-5 fold increased risk of a subsequent EP. Early studies on risk factors of EP indicated that OR greater than one belonged to current IUD use.[7,33] Although the exact mechanism by which implantation is occurring outside the uterus is not well understood, it is thought that IUD-induced inflammation may result in deciliation of the endosalpinx and then delays ovum transport, which leads to EP.[34,35]

In a case–control study comparing 243 women using an IUD and suffering from EP to 140 IUD users with an intrauterine pregnancy, Bouyer et al.[36] have described that progesterone IUD, duration of IUD use, and pelvic pain after the insertion of the IUD are the factors increasing the risk of EP in IUD users. In addition, other influencing factors associated with decreasing risk of EP are the displacement of the IUD and use of anti-inflammatory drugs including paracetamol or aspirin before the pregnancy. In our study, we didn’t evaluate the impact of these variables.

Prior abortions

In the case of spontaneous abortion, the results are conflicting. Several other studies[36,37] and our study have showed the association of prior spontaneous abortion with increased risk of EP. Another study, however, failed to find an association between the two mentioned variables.[36] With regard to the available evidence, the cause of this relationship is most likely due to infection,[7,38] hormonal imbalance,[7,36,39] or immunologic factors.[7]

Multiple studies have produced conflicting results regarding the association between EP and a history of induced abortions.[7,17,22,24,40,41] A large case–control study including 803 cases of EP, however showed an increased risk of EP for women with a history of two or more prior induced abortion with an adjusted OR of 1.9 (95% CI = 1.0–3.8).[6] This is contrary to our findings and some other published reports.[24,41] However, because of the small number of cases with induced abortion history in our study, we cannot do a powerful test for a relationship between induced abortion and EP.

Gravidity and prior live birth

Furthermore, we observed an association between prior live birth and risk of a subsequent EP which was close to the threshold of statistical significance. Also, our results showed that first pregnancy interval and first birth is another important risk factor for EP. We did also find a close association with gravidity, which is similar to findings of one study.[6]

History of subfertility

A strong association between history of subfertility and risk of EP was also detected which may be due to a significant role of hyperstimulation, with high estrogen levels.[20,42] This finding is further supported by other studies.[4,19] In our study, we found that the same relationship is true for the duration of infertility. However, not all studies have revealed such relationship.[43]

Symptoms

We also evaluated the signs and symptoms of EP. Our analysis demonstrated that 81.9% and 57.8% of women with EP have moderate/severe vaginal bleeding and pain respectively. This is consistent with the finding of Barnhart et al., which reported moderate and/or severe bleeding and the presence of pain were significantly and positively associated with the presence of an EP. Therefore, it is essential to evaluate all women with complaints of considerable pain or bleeding after a period of amenorrhea as a patient with a potential EP.[6]

CONCLUSION

The clinician can help patients to improve their health status by detection of historical and clinical risk factors of EP in order to provide early intervention. By identifying risk factors being amenable to modification, such as cigarette smoking, the effective risk-reduction strategies can be devised. Additional studies are needed to be performed on hormonal and immunologic factors possibly involved in EP.[7,39]

AUTHORS’ CONTRIBUTIONS

AM contributed in the conception of the study, revising the draft, approval of the final version of the manuscript, and agreed for all aspects of the work. RH contributed in acquisition of data, revising the draft, approval of the final version of the manuscript, and agreed for all aspects of the work. NJ contributed in conducting the study, drafting the work and approval of the final version of the manuscript, and agreed for all aspects of the work. MSh contributed in the conception of the work, and approval of the final version of the manuscript, and agreed for all aspects of the work. MA contributed in analysis and interpretation of data for the work, revising the draft, approval of the final version of the manuscript, and agreed for all aspects of the work.

ACKNOWLEDGMENT

The authors wish to express their gratitude to Royan Institute, Arash Women's Hospital and the staff.

Footnotes

Source of Support: This study was funded by Reproductive Biomedicine Research Center, Royan Institute

Conflict of Interest: None declared.

REFERENCES

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Articles from Journal of Research in Medical Sciences : The Official Journal of Isfahan University of Medical Sciences are provided here courtesy of Wolters Kluwer -- Medknow Publications

What are the chances my pregnancy is ectopic?

About 1 in every 50 pregnancies in the U.S. is an ectopic pregnancy. Between 6% to 16% of pregnant women who go to an emergency department in the first trimester for bleeding, pain, or both have an ectopic pregnancy.

How soon would you know if you have an ectopic pregnancy?

Symptoms of an ectopic pregnancy usually develop between the 4th and 12th weeks of pregnancy. Some women don't have any symptoms at first. They may not find out they have an ectopic pregnancy until an early scan shows the problem or they develop more serious symptoms later on.

Who is most likely to have an ectopic pregnancy?

All sexually active women are at some risk for an ectopic pregnancy. Risk factors increase with any of the following: maternal age of 35 years or older. history of pelvic surgery, abdominal surgery, or multiple abortions.

What week is most common for ectopic pregnancy?

Women with an ectopic pregnancy may have irregular bleeding and pelvic or abdominal pain, often on one side. Symptoms most often appear 6 to 8 weeks after the last normal menstrual period.

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